Public research and policy
Written from the lense of an infantry officer with 20+ years serving Canadians.
Public analysis. Evidence first, argument second. Alberta, institutions, and the cost of decisions made elsewhere.
Alberta’s latest student test results tell a simple story with complicated causes: the province continues to outperform most of Canada, even while spending less per student. This article argues that the difference is not one policy, but a system built around family choice, public measurement, explicit curriculum, and tight budgets.
On October 19, 2026, Albertans will vote on more than a slogan: they will decide whether the rules they live under can still be written by the people who must obey them. That is this article’s test of legitimacy, and it is the reason Alberta matters. The question is not only separation, or even dissatisfaction with Ottawa. It is whether a political community can still name itself, govern itself, and bind the institutions that act in its name.
Alberta is first because it is the only Canadian jurisdiction that treated hyperscale power as an industrial product instead of a political gift. Everyone else is still rationing electrons from a Crown balance sheet. That is the entire story. The rest is commentary.
Canada is not in a data-centre race. Alberta is. Quebec, Ontario, and B.C. are running allocation contests for leftover megawatts. Those are different businesses. Capital has already noticed. About 90 percent of planned Canadian data-centre capacity is sitting in Alberta for a reason that will not be fixed by another premier’s AI strategy deck.
Canada’s Equalization program is constitutionally entrenched, politically protected, and structurally broken. It no longer reliably tracks actual fiscal disparities, creates perverse incentives around resource development, and systematically disadvantages high-output provinces—particularly Alberta—while rewarding policy choices that suppress measured fiscal capacity.
Canada is in the middle of a rapid build-out of digital infrastructure. Artificial intelligence workloads, cloud computing, and government digital services are driving demand for data centres on a scale the country has never seen. Alberta sits at the centre of much of this activity. At the same time, a series of federal bills is expanding Ottawa’s legal authority over data access, critical systems, online platforms, and digital infrastructure. The combination of physical concentration of compute power in Alberta and growing federal legal power over that infrastructure raises fundamental questions about privacy, surveillance capacity, and who ultimately governs the digital lives of Albertans.
In 2021, the federal Liberal government presented COVID-19 vaccines with near-absolute confidence: “safe and effective.” That framing underpinned mandates for federal workers, air and rail travel, and public messaging that treated vaccination as both a personal and collective duty.
The record shows a more complicated picture. Key claims about how well the vaccines stopped infection and transmission, and how absolute their safety profile was, did not fully hold up as data accumulated. Alberta’s more measured path has been vindicated by later evidence. Here is a focused summary of the most consequential gaps.